Trump or Harris? In a crisis-hit world, diplomats resigned to either

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Getty Images French President Emmanuel Macron speaks during nan 79th Session of nan United Nations General Assembly astatine nan United Nations office successful New York City connected 25 September 2024Getty Images

The yearly United Nations General Assembly week is ever frenetic.

It whitethorn beryllium called nan Super Bowl of diplomacy, but this twelvemonth possibly a much due affinity is simply a marathon.

Not since World War Two person location been truthful galore world conflicts piling up, pinch Lebanon connected nan brink conscionable arsenic leaders arrived successful New York City.

Given nan existent authorities of uncertainty, nan forthcoming US predetermination was successful nan backmost of everyone’s minds here.

One elder Western diplomat told maine no-one expects things to move connected nan Israel-Gaza warfare until aft a victor is declared successful nan White House race.

“We understand that nan existent management is nether unit not to return immoderate decisions that mightiness impact nan election,” he said.

“But we dream that aft nan predetermination nan existent management will usage nan interim play to possibly make immoderate decisions that will lead to improving nan business successful Gaza.”

But successful conversations pinch a twelve officials from different continents astatine nan UN's office successful Manhattan, a image emerged of a world organization fatigued by situation and resigned to moving pinch whoever is nan adjacent caretaker of nan White House.

All were granted anonymity to stock their candid views.

"I don’t spot immoderate quality betwixt nan 2 candidates, conscionable look astir nan full world from 1 extremity to nan other, we are successful full chaos," an ambassador from a South Asian federation told me.

Getty Images US President Joe Biden (C), opinionated adjacent to Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky (L) and British Prime Minister Keir Starmer (R), stitchery for a group photograph during an arena pinch world leaders launching a Joint Declaration of Support for Ukrainian Recovery and Reconstruction connected nan sidelines of nan 79th Session of nan United Nations General Assembly successful New York connected September 25, 2024Getty Images

World leaders connected nan sidelines of nan UN General Assembly this week

It's a sentiment that reflects possibly disillusionment pinch US leadership, but besides nan position by galore successful nan world southbound that while nan rhetoric changes, America’s wide overseas policies really don’t plaything that drastically from 1 management to nan next.

“It’s very easy to bash and make alarms astir what could happen,” 1 elder Arab typical told me.

He said while he thinks erstwhile President Donald Trump is unpredictable compared to Vice-President Kamala Harris, nan thought that he would rip up multilateralism is exaggerated because it didn’t hap before.

"What is really undermining multilateralism are actions and conflicts that are happening successful galore parts of nan world, and you can’t put that connected 1 state aliases connected 1 administration," he said.

Here astatine nan UN complex, 1 longtime charismatic of nan organisation tells maine location isn’t panic astir nan US election.

"We person capable worry dispersed astir what's going connected coming to interest astir what's going connected successful November,” nan charismatic said.

This root added that nan UN survived nan Trump management successful a measurement fewer would person predicted.

"The measurement whitethorn person been very loud, but they weren’t each that different from erstwhile Republicans," nan charismatic said.

If location is simply a 2nd term, nan charismatic told maine their consciousness is that Trump will beryllium truthful focused connected home issues and "settling scores internally" that overseas argumentation mightiness not beryllium nan attraction successful nan beginning.

Speaking to nan BBC, Kenyan President William Ruto sounded unfazed.

"I americium very assured that nan bones of relationship betwixt Kenya and nan US transcend individuals successful office," he said. "It will transcend maine arsenic president aliases whoever is elected successful nan US."

William Ruto: Kenyan president connected post-election relations pinch US

For galore Europeans, however, location is worry astir a 2nd Trump management and what immoderate spot arsenic his transactional attack to overseas relations.

A European diplomat told maine that pinch nan Security Council incapable of managing conflicts, location is simply a fearfulness that an emboldened and perchance much extremist Trump management would adhd to nan dysfunction and promote much activity successful Europe toward nan ultra-right.

“I deliberation it would beryllium a alleviation for astatine slightest nan mostly of Europeans if Harris comes into office,” he said.

Nevertheless, different elder European diplomat said that while Harris winning would springiness them a consciousness of continuity, they besides now person a narration from moving pinch Trump for 4 years and consciousness much prepared than successful 2016.

Coinciding pinch nan UN precocious level statement was Climate Week successful New York City. Caribbean leaders said not only from nan greenish and golden General Assembly Hall, but besides to rooms afloat of businessmen and politicians astatine broadside events to pass that nan world is dangerously down connected its ambiance commitments, putting their islands astatine risk.

One curate from nan region told maine that ambiance was nan main area wherever nan US candidates’ differences worried them. “In position of having existent committedness from nan US authorities and for nan US authorities to supply leadership,” nan curate said it’s "definitely Democrats".

Many still retrieve Trump pulling retired of nan Paris Climate Accord, while Joe Biden later rejoined.

The Prime Minister of nan Bahamas, Philip Davis, said governmental alteration has been a situation to advancement complete nan past 26 years. He said he’s been calling for immoderate benignant of system that protects a alteration successful governmental activity from impeding aliases reversing progress.

Election time connected 5 November whitethorn consciousness faraway to diplomats who person been confronted pinch much challenges than solutions present this past week.

But nan clip is accelerated approaching erstwhile votes will beryllium counted successful nan US, and pinch it a caller look successful nan White House.

Another European minister, moving to an event, simply had this to opportunity to me: "My dream is that it doesn’t get excessively weird."

Additional reporting by Cai Pigliucci.

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